{"id":102627,"date":"2025-11-18T07:24:21","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T11:24:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/?p=102627"},"modified":"2025-11-18T07:24:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T11:24:23","slug":"el-dolar-en-caida-libre-que-dice-la-fed-y-que-podemos-esperar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/?p=102627","title":{"rendered":"\u00abEl d\u00f3lar en ca\u00edda libre: \u00bfQu\u00e9 dice la Fed y qu\u00e9 podemos esperar?\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El d\u00f3lar retrocedi\u00f3<\/strong> este 17 de noviembre de 2025, presionado por comentarios moderados<\/strong> de la Reserva Federal que generaron dudas sobre un recorte de tasas en diciembre. Mientras los inversores esperan la publicaci\u00f3n de datos econ\u00f3micos clave<\/strong>, el mercado se pregunta: \u00bfQu\u00e9 sigue para el d\u00f3lar y c\u00f3mo afectar\u00e1 a los activos globales?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Los comentarios de la Fed: Entre la cautela y la incertidumbre<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Christopher Waller (Fed)<\/strong> advirti\u00f3 sobre riesgos en el mercado laboral<\/strong> y sugiri\u00f3 que un recorte de tasas en diciembre no est\u00e1 garantizado<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Susan Collins (Fed de Boston)<\/strong> fue a\u00fan m\u00e1s prudente, se\u00f1alando que \u00abla barra est\u00e1 alta\u00bb<\/em> para un recorte, ya que primero quiere ver una desaceleraci\u00f3n duradera de la inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Divisi\u00f3n en la Fed:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Algunos miembros apoyan un recorte<\/strong>, mientras que otros prefieren esperar m\u00e1s datos<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Esta falta de consenso<\/strong> ha generado volatilidad<\/strong> en los mercados.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n\n\n\n

      \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 el d\u00f3lar est\u00e1 bajo presi\u00f3n?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      1. Expectativas de recortes en duda<\/strong>:\n
          \n
        • Los mercados hab\u00edan descontado un 65% de probabilidad de un recorte en diciembre<\/strong>, pero tras los comentarios, esta cifra cay\u00f3 al 40%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • Datos econ\u00f3micos pendientes<\/strong>:\n
            \n
          • Esta semana se publicar\u00e1n datos clave<\/strong>, como el informe de empleo de septiembre y las actas de la reuni\u00f3n de octubre de la Fed, que podr\u00edan redefinir las expectativas<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • Contexto global<\/strong>:\n
              \n
            • La incertidumbre fiscal en EE.UU.<\/strong> y las tensiones geopol\u00edticas est\u00e1n llevando a los inversores a buscar activos refugio<\/strong>, como el oro y el yen.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
              \n\n\n\n

              Impacto en los mercados<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
                \n
              • Euro (EUR\/USD)<\/strong>: El par subi\u00f3 a 1.1593<\/strong>, ya que los inversores reducen sus apuestas por un d\u00f3lar fuerte.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • Yen japon\u00e9s (USD\/JPY)<\/strong>: El yen se fortalece<\/strong> frente al d\u00f3lar, cotizando en 154.96<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • Bitcoin<\/strong>: El bitcoin cay\u00f3 un 0.77% a 92,800 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, reflejando la aversi\u00f3n al riesgo<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                \n\n\n\n

                \u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
                  \n
                1. Publicaci\u00f3n de datos econ\u00f3micos<\/strong>:\n
                    \n
                  • El informe de empleo de septiembre<\/strong> (jueves) y las actas de la Fed<\/strong> (mi\u00e9rcoles) ser\u00e1n decisivos<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                  • Discursos de la Fed<\/strong>:\n
                      \n
                    • Los inversores estar\u00e1n atentos a las declaraciones de otros funcionarios, que podr\u00edan aclarar o aumentar la incertidumbre<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                    • Reacci\u00f3n del mercado<\/strong>:\n
                        \n
                      • Si los datos son m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles de lo esperado<\/strong>, el d\u00f3lar podr\u00eda seguir cayendo<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                      • Si la Fed mantiene su postura restrictiva<\/strong>, el d\u00f3lar podr\u00eda recuperarse<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
                        \n\n\n\n

                        An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico: \u00bfHacia d\u00f3nde va el DXY?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
                          \n
                        • Soporte clave<\/strong>: 99.000 puntos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                        • Resistencia<\/strong>: 100.000 puntos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                        • Si el \u00edndice perfora 99.000<\/strong>, podr\u00eda caer a 98.500<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                          \n\n\n\n

                          Conclusi\u00f3n: Un d\u00f3lar en la encrucijada<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

                          La ca\u00edda del d\u00f3lar refleja la incertidumbre<\/strong> sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Fed y la salud de la econom\u00eda estadounidense. Mientras los inversores esperan los datos clave de esta semana, el d\u00f3lar sigue bajo presi\u00f3n<\/strong>, pero su futuro depender\u00e1 de si la Fed confirma o desmiente las expectativas de recorte<\/strong>. En un escenario de mayor aversi\u00f3n al riesgo<\/strong>, activos como el oro y el yen podr\u00edan seguir ganando terreno<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                          \n\n\n\n

                          #D\u00f3lar #Fed #Mercados #TasasDeInter\u00e9s #Econom\u00edaGlobal<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                          El d\u00f3lar retrocedi\u00f3 este 17 de noviembre de 2025, presionado por comentarios moderados de la Reserva Federal que generaron dudas sobre un recorte de tasas en diciembre. Mientras los inversores esperan la publicaci\u00f3n de datos econ\u00f3micos clave, el mercado se pregunta: \u00bfQu\u00e9 sigue para el d\u00f3lar y c\u00f3mo afectar\u00e1 a los activos globales? Los comentarios […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102628,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-102627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\n"El d\u00f3lar en ca\u00edda libre: \u00bfQu\u00e9 dice la Fed y qu\u00e9 podemos esperar?" - Romantica NY<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/?p=102627\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\""El d\u00f3lar en ca\u00edda libre: \u00bfQu\u00e9 dice la Fed y qu\u00e9 podemos esperar?" - Romantica NY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El d\u00f3lar retrocedi\u00f3 este 17 de noviembre de 2025, presionado por comentarios moderados de la Reserva Federal que generaron dudas sobre un recorte de tasas en diciembre. 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