{"id":103508,"date":"2025-12-08T05:49:42","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T09:49:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/?p=103508"},"modified":"2025-12-08T05:49:44","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T09:49:44","slug":"el-oro-sube-con-cautela-ante-la-posible-bajada-de-tasas-de-la-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/?p=103508","title":{"rendered":"\u00abEl oro sube con cautela ante la posible bajada de tasas de la Fed\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El precio del oro<\/strong> registr\u00f3 un ligero aumento<\/strong> este lunes en las operaciones asi\u00e1ticas, respaldado por un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil<\/strong> y las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal (Fed) recorte las tasas de inter\u00e9s<\/strong> en su reuni\u00f3n de esta semana. El oro al contado<\/strong> subi\u00f3 un 0,3%<\/strong>, cotizando en 4.208,55 d\u00f3lares la onza<\/strong>, mientras que los futuros del oro en EE.UU.<\/strong> para febrero retrocedieron un 0,3%<\/strong>, hasta 4.237,10 d\u00f3lares la onza<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 el oro est\u00e1 subiendo?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El debilitamiento del d\u00f3lar<\/strong> ha sido el principal factor detr\u00e1s de este movimiento. Los inversores anticipan que la Fed recortar\u00e1 las tasas en 0,25 puntos<\/strong> en su reuni\u00f3n del 9 y 10 de diciembre<\/strong>, tras una serie de datos econ\u00f3micos d\u00e9biles<\/strong> y una inflaci\u00f3n en descenso<\/strong>. Esto beneficia al oro porque:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil<\/strong> hace que el metal sea m\u00e1s atractivo para compradores extranjeros<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Tasas m\u00e1s bajas<\/strong> reducen el coste de oportunidad<\/strong> de mantener oro, que no genera rendimientos como otros activos.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Datos que respaldan el recorte de tasas<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Varios indicadores recientes han reforzado las expectativas de un cambio en la pol\u00edtica monetaria<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    1. Empleo privado m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil<\/strong>: El \u00faltimo informe de n\u00f3minas mostr\u00f3 un crecimiento menor al esperado<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    2. Desaceleraci\u00f3n del PCE<\/strong>: El \u00edndice de inflaci\u00f3n preferido por la Fed mostr\u00f3 un aumento m\u00ednimo mensual<\/strong> y una tendencia anual a la baja<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    3. Rendimientos del Tesoro en alza<\/strong>: Aunque los bonos han subido, el mercado sigue apostando por un recorte de tasas<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      \u00abLa Fed tiene espacio para recortar tasas dado que la inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 bajo control y el mercado laboral se est\u00e1 desacelerando\u00bb<\/em>, explic\u00f3 un estratega de Morgan Stanley<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Cautela en el mercado: \u00bfQu\u00e9 puede pasar?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Aunque el oro ha subido, las ganancias han sido limitadas<\/strong> debido a la incertidumbre<\/strong> sobre el tono que adoptar\u00e1 la Fed. Algunos funcionarios han advertido contra un recorte prematuro<\/strong>, generando divisi\u00f3n en las expectativas<\/strong>. Los inversores ahora esperan la declaraci\u00f3n oficial<\/strong> y la rueda de prensa de Jerome Powell<\/strong> para confirmar el rumbo de la pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Otros metales: Plata, platino y cobre en rangos estrechos<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Mientras el oro muestra un comportamiento moderado<\/strong>, otros metales cotizan en rangos estrechos<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • Plata<\/strong>: Los futuros cayeron un 0,6%<\/strong>, hasta 58,708 d\u00f3lares la onza<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Platino<\/strong>: Retrocedi\u00f3 un 0,3%<\/strong>, cotizando en 1.663,60 d\u00f3lares la onza<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Cobre<\/strong>: Los futuros en la LME<\/strong> subieron un 0,3%<\/strong>, hasta 11.681,20 d\u00f3lares la tonelada<\/strong>, mientras que en EE.UU. cayeron un 0,7%<\/strong>, hasta 4,67 d\u00f3lares la libra<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        \u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar de la reuni\u00f3n de la Fed?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

        Los mercados estar\u00e1n atentos a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        1. El comunicado de la Fed<\/strong> sobre la decisi\u00f3n de tasas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        2. Las proyecciones econ\u00f3micas<\/strong> para 2026.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        3. Las declaraciones de Powell<\/strong> en la rueda de prensa.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

          \u00abSi la Fed confirma el recorte y adopta un tono dovish, el oro podr\u00eda subir con fuerza. Pero si hay se\u00f1ales de cautela, el metal podr\u00eda corregir\u00bb<\/em>, advirti\u00f3 un analista de Citigroup<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Conclusi\u00f3n: Un momento clave para el oro<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

          El oro se mantiene en un rango lateral<\/strong> a la espera de la reuni\u00f3n de la Fed, pero el d\u00f3lar d\u00e9bil y las expectativas de recorte de tasas<\/strong> le est\u00e1n dando un impulso moderado<\/strong>. La pregunta clave es: \u00bfConfirmar\u00e1 la Fed el recorte de tasas y adoptar\u00e1 un tono m\u00e1s flexible?<\/strong> Si es as\u00ed, el oro podr\u00eda recuperar su brillo<\/strong>. Si no, los inversores podr\u00edan tomar ganancias y ajustar posiciones<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          El precio del oro registr\u00f3 un ligero aumento este lunes en las operaciones asi\u00e1ticas, respaldado por un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil y las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal (Fed) recorte las tasas de inter\u00e9s en su reuni\u00f3n de esta semana. El oro al contado subi\u00f3 un 0,3%, cotizando en 4.208,55 d\u00f3lares la onza, mientras que […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103509,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-103508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\n"El oro sube con cautela ante la posible bajada de tasas de la Fed" - Romantica NY<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/?p=103508\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\""El oro sube con cautela ante la posible bajada de tasas de la Fed" - Romantica NY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El precio del oro registr\u00f3 un ligero aumento este lunes en las operaciones asi\u00e1ticas, respaldado por un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil y las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal (Fed) recorte las tasas de inter\u00e9s en su reuni\u00f3n de esta semana. 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El oro al contado subi\u00f3 un 0,3%, cotizando en 4.208,55 d\u00f3lares la onza, mientras que…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=103508"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103508\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":103510,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103508\/revisions\/103510"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/103509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=103508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=103508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/romanticany.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=103508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}